Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.289741 0.339123 0.391362 0.450452 0.515149 0.583561 0.661097
2025-01-12 0.214329 0.280298 0.354904 0.444355 0.547544 0.661775 0.796713
2025-01-19 0.167457 0.243745 0.335552 0.451381 0.590922 0.751114 0.946416
2025-01-26 0.135222 0.218373 0.324436 0.464439 0.639417 0.846338 1.104993
2025-02-02 0.110612 0.197974 0.315785 0.477814 0.686925 0.940497 1.264064
2025-02-09 0.085934 0.172568 0.296628 0.474598 0.711686 1.006201 1.389349
2025-02-16 0.069914 0.156616 0.287784 0.482991 0.750074 1.088470 1.535599
2025-02-23 0.054476 0.138160 0.272588 0.480445 0.772589 1.150005 1.656239
2025-03-02 0.038854 0.115339 0.247442 0.460860 0.769887 1.177588 1.733226
2025-03-09 0.030990 0.104953 0.240308 0.466368 0.800929 1.249017 1.866605
2025-03-16 0.022518 0.090570 0.224362 0.456746 0.809373 1.289712 1.960043
2025-03-23 0.019198 0.086941 0.226539 0.475053 0.857972 1.384907 2.125726
2025-03-30 0.014291 0.077648 0.217488 0.475160 0.880579 1.446169 2.249210
2025-04-06 0.010510 0.069650 0.209661 0.476447 0.904600 1.509568 2.376348
2025-04-13 0.008253 0.065247 0.208296 0.488257 0.944535 1.595583 2.534838
2025-04-20 0.006682 0.062397 0.209687 0.504628 0.991592 1.692094 2.708461
2025-04-27 0.005341 0.059602 0.210762 0.520292 1.037731 1.787835 2.882015
2025-05-04 0.003524 0.052934 0.202101 0.517773 1.055020 1.842442 2.999789
2025-05-11 0.002542 0.049415 0.200158 0.527174 1.091127 1.924326 3.155671
2025-05-18 0.001523 0.043866 0.192268 0.524772 1.107928 1.978227 3.273223
2025-05-25 0.000598 0.035647 0.175639 0.504169 1.094038 1.986604 3.327122
2025-06-01 0.000318 0.032740 0.172761 0.510109 1.123717 2.059222 3.471289
2025-06-08 0.000084 0.027654 0.162337 0.499951 1.125897 2.090728 3.557643